Полицентризм или олигополия: факторы силы и новые иерархии в мировой политике

17 января 2019, 14:00 – 15:30, Корпус 2, 2 этаж, Аудитория 277

Уже десятилетия мы находимся между мировыми порядками и ждем определенности, которая может и не наступить. Одни считают, что либеральный мировой порядок еще жив. Другие ждут возникновения новой биполярности, на этот раз с Китаем и США в главное роли. Третьи надеются на новый полицентричный мир. А некоторые и вовсе считают, что четвертая промышленная революция сделает государства лишь одним из многих игроков мировой политики, так как старые факторы силы, доступные лишь национальным правительствам, уступят место новым источникам власти.

Вопросы для обсуждения

  • Будут ли новые центры силы в мировой политике «полюсами» в привычном нам смысле? Сколько их будет – два, восемь, двадцать или ноль?
  • Что такое «многополярный мир»: демократические правила игры для всех или расширенный «совет директоров» великих держав?
  • Какие факторы будут определять место государств в глобальной иерархии: технологическое лидерство, место в торговой системе, «мягкая сила»?

Модератор

Участники

  • Павел Демидов
    Павел Демидов

    директор Департамента пресс-службы и информации Счетной палаты Российской Федерации

  • Андрей Мельвиль
    Андрей Мельвиль

    декан Факультета социальных наук НИУ ВШЭ

  • Дэниэл Дрезнер
    Дэниэл Дрезнер

    профессор Школы права и дипломатии им. Флетчера Университета Тафтса

  • Самир Саран
    Самир Саран

    президент Observer Research Foundation

  • Андрей Кортунов
    Андрей Кортунов

    генеральный директор некоммерческого партнерства «Российский совет по международным делам»

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Уже десятилетия мы находимся между мировыми порядками и ждем определенности, которая может и не наступить. Одни считают, что либеральный мировой порядок еще жив. Другие ждут возникновения новой биполярности, на этот раз с Китаем и США в главное роли. Третьи надеются на новый полицентричный мир. А некоторые и вовсе считают, что четвертая промышленная революция сделает государства лишь одним из многих игроков мировой политики, так как старые факторы силы, доступные лишь национальным правительствам, уступят место новым источникам власти.

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Уже десятилетия мы находимся между мировыми порядками и ждем определенности, которая может и не наступить. Одни считают, что либеральный мировой порядок еще жив. Другие ждут возникновения новой биполярности, на этот раз с Китаем и США в главное роли. Третьи надеются на новый полицентричный мир. А некоторые и вовсе считают, что четвертая промышленная революция сделает государства лишь одним из многих игроков мировой политики, так как старые факторы силы, доступные лишь национальным правительствам, уступят место новым источникам власти.

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  • Что такое «многополярный мир»: демократические правила игры для всех или расширенный «совет директоров» великих держав?
  • Какие факторы будут определять место государств в глобальной иерархии: технологическое лидерство, место в торговой системе, «мягкая сила»?
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[WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Презентация [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [SPEAKERS] => Array ( [ID] => 231 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Спикеры [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 105 [CODE] => SPEAKERS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 231 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Спикеры [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [OPENINGS] => Array ( [ID] => 240 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Открытие [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 106 [CODE] => OPENINGS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 240 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Открытие [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [SUBTITLE] => Array ( [ID] => 75 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Подзаголовок [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 110 [CODE] => SUBTITLE [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => S [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 75 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Подзаголовок [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [MSP_REPRESENTATIVES] => Array ( [ID] => 76 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Представители МСП [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 120 [CODE] => MSP_REPRESENTATIVES [DEFAULT_VALUE] => Array ( [TYPE] => HTML [TEXT] => ) [PROPERTY_TYPE] => S [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 76 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => HTML [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => Array ( [height] => 200 ) [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Представители МСП [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => Array ( [TYPE] => HTML [TEXT] => ) ) [MEDIA_LINK] => Array ( [ID] => 118 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Медиаматериалы [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 130 [CODE] => MEDIA_LINK [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 118 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 29 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Медиаматериалы [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [CALENDAR] => Array ( [ID] => 128 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Календарь [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 140 [CODE] => CALENDAR [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 128 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => 90261 [VALUE] => Да [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => Да [VALUE_XML_ID] => 82585f2fc76231ff8c5a3de635aaa8f0 [VALUE_SORT] => 500 [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => 36 [~VALUE] => Да [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Календарь [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [EVENT_INFO] => Array ( [ID] => 129 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Информационное событие [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 150 [CODE] => EVENT_INFO [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 129 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Информационное событие [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [CHANGE] => Array ( [ID] => 130 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Изменение [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 160 [CODE] => CHANGE [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 130 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Изменение [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [LANGUAGES] => Array ( [ID] => 222 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Рабочие языки [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 170 [CODE] => LANGUAGES [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 222 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => Array ( [0] => 90262 [1] => 90263 ) [VALUE] => Array ( [0] => русский [1] => английский ) [DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => [1] => ) [VALUE_ENUM] => Array ( [0] => русский [1] => английский ) [VALUE_XML_ID] => Array ( [0] => 1 [1] => 3 ) [VALUE_SORT] => Array ( [0] => 10 [1] => 30 ) [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => Array ( [0] => 50 [1] => 52 ) [~VALUE] => Array ( [0] => русский [1] => английский ) [~DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => [1] => ) [~NAME] => Рабочие языки [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [INVITATION_ONLY] => Array ( [ID] => 223 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Вход по индивидуальным приглашениям [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 180 [CODE] => INVITATION_ONLY [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 223 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Вход по индивидуальным приглашениям [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [PREMIUM_ONLY] => Array ( [ID] => 232 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Вход с бэйджами категории «ПРЕМИУМ» [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 500 [CODE] => PREMIUM_ONLY [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => L [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => C [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 232 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [VALUE_ENUM_ID] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Вход с бэйджами категории «ПРЕМИУМ» [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) [KEYNOTE_FILE] => Array ( [ID] => 234 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2019-01-14 21:27:15 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Доклад [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 500 [CODE] => KEYNOTE_FILE [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => F [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 234 [FILE_TYPE] => pdf [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => Y [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => [VALUE] => [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Доклад [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => ) ) [DISPLAY_PROPERTIES] => Array ( [QUESTIONS] => Array ( [ID] => 12 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-18 10:54:36 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Вопросы для обсуждения [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 10 [CODE] => QUESTIONS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => Array ( [TYPE] => HTML [TEXT] => ) [PROPERTY_TYPE] => S [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 12 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => Y [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => HTML [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => Array ( [height] => 200 ) [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => 73705 [VALUE] => Array ( [TEXT] => <ul class="style-prog-list"> <li>Будут ли новые центры силы в мировой политике «полюсами» в привычном нам смысле? Сколько их будет – два, восемь, двадцать или ноль?</li> <li> Что такое «многополярный мир»: демократические правила игры для всех или расширенный «совет директоров» великих держав?</li> <li> Какие факторы будут определять место государств в глобальной иерархии: технологическое лидерство, место в торговой системе, «мягкая сила»?</li> </ul> [TYPE] => HTML ) [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Array ( [TEXT] =>
  • Будут ли новые центры силы в мировой политике «полюсами» в привычном нам смысле? Сколько их будет – два, восемь, двадцать или ноль?
  • Что такое «многополярный мир»: демократические правила игры для всех или расширенный «совет директоров» великих держав?
  • Какие факторы будут определять место государств в глобальной иерархии: технологическое лидерство, место в торговой системе, «мягкая сила»?
[TYPE] => HTML ) [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Вопросы для обсуждения [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => Array ( [TYPE] => HTML [TEXT] => ) [DISPLAY_VALUE] =>
  • Будут ли новые центры силы в мировой политике «полюсами» в привычном нам смысле? Сколько их будет – два, восемь, двадцать или ноль?
  • Что такое «многополярный мир»: демократические правила игры для всех или расширенный «совет директоров» великих держав?
  • Какие факторы будут определять место государств в глобальной иерархии: технологическое лидерство, место в торговой системе, «мягкая сила»?
) [LOCATION] => Array ( [ID] => 19 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-18 10:54:36 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Место проведения мероприятия [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 30 [CODE] => LOCATION [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => S [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => N [XML_ID] => 19 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 0 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => 73708 [VALUE] => Корпус 2, 2 этаж, Аудитория 277 [DESCRIPTION] => [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Корпус 2, 2 этаж, Аудитория 277 [~DESCRIPTION] => [~NAME] => Место проведения мероприятия [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => [DISPLAY_VALUE] => Корпус 2, 2 этаж, Аудитория 277 ) [MODERATORS] => Array ( [ID] => 14 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2017-12-18 13:54:45 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Модераторы [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 40 [CODE] => MODERATORS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 14 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => Array ( [0] => 73707 ) [VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 16248 ) [DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => ) [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 16248 ) [~DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => ) [~NAME] => Модераторы [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => [DISPLAY_VALUE] => Антон Цветов [LINK_ELEMENT_VALUE] => Array ( [16248] => Array ( [ID] => 16248 [~ID] => 16248 [IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [~IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [NAME] => Антон Цветов [~NAME] => Антон Цветов [DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/anton-tsvetov/ [~DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/anton-tsvetov/ [PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 38477 [~PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 38477 [DETAIL_PICTURE] => [~DETAIL_PICTURE] => [SORT] => 500 [~SORT] => 500 [LANG_DIR] => / [~LANG_DIR] => / [CODE] => anton-tsvetov [~CODE] => anton-tsvetov [EXTERNAL_ID] => 16248 [~EXTERNAL_ID] => 16248 [IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 247 [~IBLOCK_SECTION_ID] => 247 [IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [~IBLOCK_TYPE_ID] => content [IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [~IBLOCK_CODE] => experts [IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 8 [~IBLOCK_EXTERNAL_ID] => 8 [LID] => s1 [~LID] => s1 ) ) ) [MEMBERS] => Array ( [ID] => 66 [TIMESTAMP_X] => 2018-12-13 12:17:20 [IBLOCK_ID] => 9 [NAME] => Участники [ACTIVE] => Y [SORT] => 70 [CODE] => MEMBERS [DEFAULT_VALUE] => [PROPERTY_TYPE] => E [ROW_COUNT] => 1 [COL_COUNT] => 30 [LIST_TYPE] => L [MULTIPLE] => Y [XML_ID] => 66 [FILE_TYPE] => [MULTIPLE_CNT] => 5 [TMP_ID] => [LINK_IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [WITH_DESCRIPTION] => N [SEARCHABLE] => N [FILTRABLE] => N [IS_REQUIRED] => N [VERSION] => 1 [USER_TYPE] => [USER_TYPE_SETTINGS] => [HINT] => [PROPERTY_VALUE_ID] => Array ( [0] => 73709 [1] => 73710 [2] => 73711 [3] => 73712 [4] => 88842 ) [VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 14908 [1] => 14910 [2] => 7138 [3] => 14915 [4] => 8230 ) [DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => [1] => [2] => [3] => [4] => ) [VALUE_ENUM] => [VALUE_XML_ID] => [VALUE_SORT] => [~VALUE] => Array ( [0] => 14908 [1] => 14910 [2] => 7138 [3] => 14915 [4] => 8230 ) [~DESCRIPTION] => Array ( [0] => [1] => [2] => [3] => [4] => ) [~NAME] => Участники [~DEFAULT_VALUE] => [DISPLAY_VALUE] => Array ( [0] => Павел Демидов [1] => Андрей Мельвиль [2] => Дэниэл Дрезнер [3] => Самир Саран [4] => Андрей Кортунов ) [LINK_ELEMENT_VALUE] => Array ( [14908] => Array ( [ID] => 14908 [~ID] => 14908 [IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [~IBLOCK_ID] => 8 [NAME] => Павел Демидов [~NAME] => Павел Демидов [DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/pavel-demidov/ [~DETAIL_PAGE_URL] => /experts/pavel-demidov/ [PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 36900 [~PREVIEW_PICTURE] => 36900 [DETAIL_PICTURE] => [~DETAIL_PICTURE] => [SORT] => 500 [~SORT] => 500 [LANG_DIR] => / [~LANG_DIR] => / [CODE] => pavel-demidov [~CODE] => pavel-demidov [EXTERNAL_ID] => 14908 [~EXTERNAL_ID] => 14908 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15:30 [TIME_EVENT] => 17 января [OGDESC] =>

Уже десятилетия мы находимся между мировыми порядками и ждем определенности, которая может и не наступить. Одни считают, что либеральный мировой порядок еще жив. Другие ждут возникновения новой биполярности, на этот раз с Китаем и США в главное роли. Третьи надеются на новый полицентричный мир. А некоторые и вовсе считают, что четвертая промышленная революция сделает государства лишь одним из многих игроков мировой политики, так как старые факторы силы, доступные лишь национальным правительствам, уступят место новым источникам власти.

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